The company has smart thermometers in every county in the U.S., but it … Each data point on the graph represents one of 250 counties from 32 states and Washington D.C. For the last five years, the company has tracked the flu down to the county level. Kinsa has created an early warning system from their network of connected thermometers that helps public health officials identify where outbreaks of influenza-like illness (ILI) are occurring. TechCrunch fait partie de Verizon Media. Pour autoriser Verizon Media et nos partenaires à traiter vos données personnelles, sélectionnez 'J'accepte' ou 'Gérer les paramètres' pour obtenir plus d’informations et pour gérer vos choix. Within days, testing showed that South Florida had indeed become an epicenter. “But we think this could be super helpful even without peer review, and we think there’s a moral imperative to do this right now so everyone can see it and judge it,” Mr. Singh added. Learn More . This relationship is statistically significant, with a correlation of 0.58. Temperature readings have been far more timely and accurate than other rapid measures, such as cough medicine sales, electronic medical records or Google searches for “flu,” Dr. Shah said. KINSA: predictive models for atypical illness levels. One in every 5 Kinsa thermometers in the US has been distributed to a family in a Title 1 school participating in FLUency. The chart below shows the correlation between the US county population and Kinsa’s user base. It’s worth it. I checked the other four boroughs of NYC and they’re all following the same trend, atypical but declining back towards typical rates in the past few days. In collaboration with Benjamin Dalziel, Associate Professor at Oregon State University, our data team has shown that they can forecast and predict the flu season in the United States up to 12 weeks out, and in some cases even farther into the future. see how it works. Kinsa’s latest map of fever spikes shows areas that are known to have many cases of Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. The distribution of thermometers by state follows a similar pattern to the previous chart. New York is the focus of most of the country’s attention because of the soaring number of positive tests there, but if Kinsa is right then we have a big — big — problem brewing in Florida. Normally, Mr. Singh said, the company submits its data to peer-reviewed medical journals. This system has shown it can predict and alert communities of an ILI outbreak far earlier than the CDC, and recently, Kinsa’s detection of atypical illness has shown a strong correlation to outbreaks of COVID-19. I’ll leave you with this thought: According to the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 tracking website, there are a little over 14,000 confirmed cases in the United States. The company’s thermometer readings “are by far the most high-quality data set I’ve ever worked with,” Dr. Dalziel said. The counties showing the highest cumulative atypical illness values tend to have the highest numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases. You can also search by zip code or county to see what your own backyard looks like, or view the whole United States if you like. One in every 5 Kinsa thermometers in the US has been distributed to a family in a Title 1 school participating in FLUency. Through a network of millions of smart thermometers, Kinsa tracks the spread of illness in real-time and forecasts future outbreaks. Screenshot of health weather map for March 27, 2020. “We can’t say what that is, but it’s very different from what we’d normally expect,” Dr. Chamberlain said. close window. Children under age 18 have shown to play a major role in the transmission of influenza to the general public2. The thermometer data “acts as an early warning system for illness spreading,” said Inder Singh, the company’s founder. . Informations sur votre appareil et sur votre connexion Internet, y compris votre adresse IP, Navigation et recherche lors de l’utilisation des sites Web et applications Verizon Media. “This is 21st-century disease surveillance, and we’ve been rooted in the mid-20th century with something very labor intensive.”. We are collaborating with public health departments at the city and state level to distribute more thermometers to families and front line workers in areas hardest hit by COVID-19. Smart thermometer fever map may help forecast spread of covid-19, other diseases Kinsa Health’s smart thermometers collect data about fevers and … Kinsa Health has sold or given away more than a million smart thermometers to households in which two million people reside, and thus can record fevers almost as soon as consumers experience them. Nos partenaires et nous-mêmes stockerons et/ou utiliserons des informations concernant votre appareil, par l’intermédiaire de cookies et de technologies similaires, afin d’afficher des annonces et des contenus personnalisés, de mesurer les audiences et les contenus, d’obtenir des informations sur les audiences et à des fins de développement de produit. Here’s their new website, as promised: it. Understanding illness levels and how illness transmits from person to person in the under 18 population is crucial in detecting illness spread in the broader population. One problem with the map is that there’s insufficient data for many counties. For now. According to the best estimates of modelers, though, there were something like 80,000 actual cases as of three days ago, in line with the official numbers from China. The map from March 14, 2020, If you’re interested in tracking your own illness and contributing to Kinsa’s public health data, you can pre-order one of Kinsa’s thermometers. This data is then aggregated to the county, state and national level, then normalized to match the CDC’s definition of ILI, which is the industry standard for tracking illness. In counties where there are enough active thermometers, these forecasts can be made down to the county level. There is a higher distribution of thermometers in more populous states like California, Texas and Florida compared to less populous states like Wyoming and South Dakota. This chart shows the correlation between Kinsa’s cumulative atypical illness level and the CDC’s cumulative positive cases of COVID-19. There are many studies that show how these types of illnesses spread within communities, and how demographics like age, sex, and zip code, play a role in community spread. If you didn’t, stop here and read it. However, our research shows there is a statistically significant correlation between the two and that Kinsa’s atypical illness levels are a strong indicator of a COVID-19 outbreak. But the data also point to spots in Florida, Michigan, Arizona and eastern Texas, where not as many cases have been reported. The C.D.C.’s system lags because it relies on weekly reports from hundreds of doctors’ offices and hospital emergency rooms about what symptoms they are seeing in patients. A major challenge in responding to the current COVID-19 epidemic is the lack of early warning systems and limited number of testing kits. You can also track your temperature and symptoms without a Kinsa thermometer through Kinsa’s free app. Copyright Media. The real-time illness data captures details such as fever and other symptoms which are submitted via the Kinsa thermometer and the app. Knowing that families with school aged children are the largest part of Kinsa’s user base, it makes sense that the most engaged users are mothers with school-aged children.


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